President Barack Obama enters the homestretch with a sizable lead over Mitt Romney among likely voters in New Jersey, according to today’s survey by Fairleigh Dickinson University’s PublicMind.

President Barack Obama waves to supporters at a campaign rally in Kissimmee, Florida
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The poll, conducted after the Democratic convention concluded, found that fifty-two percent of likely voters say they intend to vote for President Obama, with around four-in-ten (38%) who align themselves with his opponent. The remainder support someone else (1%) or are unsure (9%).

While support for the two major party candidates is split across party lines, Obama’s lead is greater than the edge that self-identified Democrats have over Republicans among likely voters (47 versus 37%). Highlighting Obama’s appeal is the percentage of respondents who say they are “very certain” about their expected choice in November. 90% report being unlikely to change their mind, a number that is identical to that found among Romney supporters.

“Obviously this is good news for the president,” says Krista Jenkins, director of the poll and professor of political science at Fairleigh Dickinson University. “Even though he remains saddled with the perception among almost half of all likely New Jersey voters that the country is on the wrong track, he remains favored by double digits in the state.”

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