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Probability of tropical storm force winds (39+ mph) from Hermine.  New Jersey now falls in the 20-40% chance range.  (NOAA / NHC)
Probability of tropical storm force winds (39+ mph) from Hermine. New Jersey now falls in the 20-40% chance range. (NOAA / NHC)
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Latest Hermine forecast: Good news and bad news for NJ

The center of Hermine will stay well east of the Garden State, limiting heavy rain and gusty winds, but rough surf will be a big problem for most of next week.

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Tropical Storm Hermine Bears Down On Florida's Gulf Coast
Getty Images
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Hermine’s best bets for New Jersey: Angry ocean, coastal flooding

The storm, which made landfall in Florida hours ago, is expected to produce rough surf, dangerous rip currents and beach erosion over the long holiday weekend, no matter how much wind or rain New Jersey experiences.

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Hermine Headlines 20160901
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Hermine now a hurricane – Tropical Storm Watch issued for NJ

Hurricane Hermine will pack 75 mph winds as it slams into Florida, with rain, wind, and surf impacts still possible for New Jersey over the Labor Day Weekend.

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Thursday morning's water vapor satellite image with superimposed wind vectors, shows an imposing and better organized storm.  (College of DuPage Meteorology)
Thursday morning's water vapor satellite image with superimposed wind vectors, shows an imposing and better organized storm. (College of DuPage Meteorology)
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Hermine slows down and nudges east: NJ right on the edge

The forecast for Tropical Storm Hermine remains in flux, as the latest data shows a shift back to the east along with a later impact on the Garden State.

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Tropical Storm Hermine: GFS model forecast at 8 a.m. Sunday (top-left), NAM model forecast at 8 a.m. Sunday (top-right), and the latest forecast track from the National Hurricane Center (bottom).
Tropical Storm Hermine: GFS model forecast at 8 a.m. Sunday (top-left), NAM model forecast at 8 a.m. Sunday (top-right), and the latest forecast track from the National Hurricane Center (bottom).
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Newly upgraded Tropical Storm Hermine may impact NJ this weekend

The latest data suggests the Hermine will hug close to the Atlantic coast, raising New Jersey's chance for weather and surf impacts over the Labor Day Weekend.

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Rough Surf Headlines 20160831
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Tropical Depression 9 forecast track too close for comfort

A cold front will deliver rain Wednesday into Thursday, but we continue to monitor the tropics carefully due to rough surf and potential weather concerns.

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To break the grip of a rip current, swim parallel to the shore and out of the powerful outgoing current.  (NOAA / NWS)
To break the grip of a rip current, swim parallel to the shore and out of the powerful outgoing current. (NOAA / NWS)
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Rip currents and rough surf, so what?

Hazardous conditions are expected to continue along the Jersey Shore through the Labor Day Weekend. Do you know how to "break the grip" of a rip?

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waves
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NJ forecast: Weather looks great, waves not so much

A series of tropical cyclones continues to stir up the Atlantic Ocean, but will only have indirect effects on the Garden State.

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It's time for everyone's favorite weather geek game show - 'Guess that radar signature!'  (Image: Radarscope)
It's time for everyone's favorite weather geek game show - 'Guess that radar signature!' (Image: Radarscope)
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It’s time to play ‘Guess that radar signature!’

Meteorologist Dan Zarrow saw something unusual on the weather radar over New Jersey this morning - can you guess what it is?

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A trio of tropical cyclones are spinning throughout the Atlantic basin.  (NOAA / NHC)
A trio of tropical cyclones are spinning throughout the Atlantic basin. (NOAA / NHC)
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A trio of tropical disturbances: What does it mean for NJ?

Right on schedule, the tropics are heating up as the big Labor Day Weekend approaches.

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