Winter’s wrath continues: arctic cold and more snow today
With morning low temperatures near 0° and highs only in the teens, President’s Day will be another frigid day, with a chance for significant snowfall tonight.
Another Monday, and another shot of winter. Gee whiz, thanks a lot, Mother Nature.
We begin this President’s Day with temperatures on either side of 0°. A 127 year old record from 1888 has already been broken at Atlantic City this morning. The good news is that winds will be considerably lighter today than this weekend. After gusts as high as 64 mph yesterday, we’ll calm down to about 10 to 20 mph today. Still enough to push wind chills down into the single digits all day. It’s another blustery, cold day - be sure to dress very warmly!
Beyond the cold, we’re staring down our next storm system for tonight. As this system digs south through the mid-Atlantic states, the biggest snow bullseye will end up well south of New Jersey, with upwards of a foot of snow around the Washington DC area. According to the most likely storm track, I would place South Jersey squarely within a 6+ inch snow band, although I wouldn’t be too surprised to see an 8” or 10” observation. As shown on the snow forecast map above, those forecast totals taper from south to north across the state.
But here’s the problem… (Sigh, there’s always a problem…) If the storm track “jiggles” north or south a little bit, those snow total bands will shift as well. If the storm system tracks further north than expected (the “worst case scenario”), widespread 10” snow totals will be possible throughout the southern half of New Jersey. Meanwhile, if the storm system digs further south OR if the atmosphere is too dry, snow totals could ultimately be about half of the current forecast. I’m comfortable with our “middle-of-the-road” forecast as it is the most realistic and most likely scenario at the moment. Be prepared for widespread plowable snow by Tuesday morning.
In advance of the impending storm, the National Weather service has issued a Winter Storm Warning for the 4+ inch snowfall area, from Ocean and Burlington counties and southward. A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for lesser snow totals in Monmouth, Mercer, Middlesex, Somerset, and Hunterdon counties.
There’s another little shot of snow in the forecast for Wednesday night into Thursday morning. Not a lot of snow, but that will AGAIN open the door to the arctic. Temperatures on Thursday and Friday will rival what we saw this weekend. Following another shot of snow showers late Saturday, we’ll hopefully… hopefully… see a slight warmup on Sunday. But the long-range forecast puts mainly sub-freezing temperatures over New Jersey through at least the middle of next week.