Contact Us
Make My Homepage

The Dow Could Affect Presidential Election [AUDIO]

One study found that where the Dow goes, up or down between Labor Day and Election Day, historically, can determine whether voters keep the incumbent President or vote in his challenger.

Spencer Platt, Getty Images

Researcher James Stack found this measure of the Dow has accurately predicted the winner in 25 out of 28 presidential elections since 1900, a 90 percent accuracy rate. Stack is President of InvesTech Research.

Stack’s logic says a rising stock market normally reflects investors’ belief that the economic outlook is brightening. And an improving economy often coincides with rising confidence among investors and voters, which boosts the odds of the incumbent winning.

Fairleigh Dickinson University Political Scientist Peter Woolley doesn’t necessarily buy into Stack’s theory. But, he says that even if the economy is looking good through the eyes of the stock market right now, it could change relatively quickly.

Woolley says most voters look at the facts in an election, draw their conclusions, and then make a choice based on what they conclude.

Audio clip: Adobe Flash Player (version 9 or above) is required to play this audio clip. Download the latest version here. You also need to have JavaScript enabled in your browser.

Best of NJ101.5

Recommended For You

Best of the Web

Leave a Comment

It appears that you already have an account created within our VIP network of sites on . To keep your personal information safe, we need to verify that it's really you. To activate your account, please confirm your password. When you have confirmed your password, you will be able to log in through Facebook on both sites.

Forgot your password?

*Please note that your prizes and activities will not be shared between programs within our VIP network.

It appears that you already have an account on this site associated with . To connect your existing account just click on the account activation button below. You will maintain your existing VIP profile. After you do this, you will be able to always log in to using your original account information.

*Please note that your prizes and activities will not be shared between programs within our VIP network.

Please fill out the information below to help us provide you a better experience.

(Forgot your password?)

Not a member? Sign up here

Sign up for New Jersey Insiders quickly by connecting your Facebook account. It's just as secure and no password to remember!

Sign up to have exclusive New Jersey Insiders contests, events, coupons, presales, and much more delivered to you for FREE.