Quiet, mild weather will mean easy travel as this holiday weekend begins, although showers and a cooldown are possible at some point.

New Jersey can be thankful for some peaceful weather as we dive into the long Thanksgiving weekend - perfect for traveling, parades, football, shopping, and more. Here is a full breakdown of what to expect over the next few days...


Another cold, frosty morning will be followed by another cool afternoon. Wednesday's high temperatures should be slightly warmer than Tuesday, generally in the lower 50s. That's right on the normal highs in the 51 to 53 degree range. Far North Jersey and the Jersey Shore may be limited to the upper 40s today.

Thanksgiving Day

There remains one outlier model - the NAM - that insists upon pesky light showers coming on-shore in New Jersey throughout the day on Thursday. No other model agrees with this solution, and there's really no atmospheric forcing that would suggest rain. So we're keeping a dry forecast.

Sun and clouds will accompany a nice warmup for Thursday, as high temperatures rise to about the 60 degree mark.

Black Friday

Friday's temperatures look to climb even further, as a 20 mph southwesterly breeze carries in warm air. Highs should reach the lower to mid 60s - the exact temperature will be highly dependent on whether skies go partly or mostly cloudy. We'll probably be within 5 degrees or so of the daily record highs.


On Saturday morning, a cold front will start to traverse the Garden State, putting an end to the above-normal temperatures. The front may bring some rain showers - I am literally 50/50 right now as to whether New Jersey sees raindrops or not. We'll have the humidity to make it happen, and the cold front could provide enough lift. Euro says yes, GFS says no. My best advice would be to be ready for a tenth of an inch of rain on Saturday, but don't be surprised if it does not materialize.

Keep the jackets handy too. High temperatures on Saturday will happen early in the day, in the lower 50s. As cooler air arrives, afternoon temperatures will probably end up in the mid to upper 40s statewide.


By Sunday, our new cool air mass will be in firm control of our weather. High temperatures will range from the upper 40s in North Jersey to the lower 50s in South Jersey... certainly within the realm of "normal" late November weather. As a weak storm system slides in from the southwest, we could see a few showers in South Jersey late Sunday.

Dan Zarrow is the Chief Meteorologist for Townsquare Media New Jersey. Follow him on Facebook or Twitter for the latest forecast and realtime weather updates.