Back into the 70s for Wednesday in NJ
We will enjoy another warm and sunny day, but some clouds and a few raindrops are on the horizon in the forecast.
Here are your weather headlines for Wednesday, November 4, 2015...
New Jersey gets to taste one more day of high pressure on Wednesday, keeping skies blue and temperatures warm once again.
Abundant sunshine will bump high temperatures into the 70° to 75° range for the second straight day. Light southeast winds are expected - that could be enough to limit the Jersey Shore to the upper 60s for highs today. Still a beautiful day overall.
Generally, my usual high pressure mantra applies: if you liked yesterday's weather, you'll like today's forecast too!
Clouds and Showers
Clouds could potentially start to increase by late afternoon through this evening. As a disturbance moves across New Jersey on Thursday, we are expecting scattered showers and sprinkles throughout the day. Rainfall totals will be light... Less than a tenth of an inch for most of the state, with slightly higher amounts possible along the southern coast (up to a quarter-inch).
Despite the rain and the clouds, temperatures on Thursday will remain well above early November normals, in the upper 60s to lower 70s. It's actually impressive how warm our atmospheric column is right now. Exact temperatures tomorrow will depend on several factors, including how heavy the rain falls and how thick the clouds are.
Friday will be mostly cloudy, but breaks of sun and an overall warm air mass should lead to the warmest day of the week. (There could be a few thermometers in southwestern New Jersey that approach the 80-degree mark!) Friday will not be quite as perfect and picturesque as our current sunny days, as clouds will dominate the sky. Additionally, we'll have to contend with a stiff breeze to about 20 mph.
Autumn Chill Returns
Our next cold front will push through New Jersey late Friday night through early Saturday. Generally, a cold front means rain - and that is the case here - but the bulk of the frontal energy will stay well north of the Garden State. Expect a few showers to start the day on Saturday, with slow improvements through the afternoon and eveningafter the front clears. The exception to this drying forecast will be along the southern coast, as models have shown a persistent pocket of steadier rain in that neighborhood through late Saturday.
The bigger impact from the cold front will be decreasing temperatures as the weekend progresses. Saturday's high temperatures should still scrape into the 60s - just barely above normal for early November. By Sunday, the cooler air will be fully in place, so highs will be limited to the lower to mid 50s at best.
Sunshine is expected for early next week, as high temperatures stay at or just below seasonal normals.